Analysts debate export-control strategy

Analysts debated the efficacy and relevance of export controls on China’s AI advances and how DeepSeek’s breakthrough will affect future U.S. strategy: 

Lennart Heim and Sihao Huang wrote in Heims’s AI governance blog about the ways in which the coverage of DeepSeek’s achievements overlooks the complexity of (and U.S. strategic advantages in) compute access, export controls, and AI development. 

Dean W. Ball argued at Lawfare that DeepSeek’s AI breakthrough does not invalidate the U.S.’s basic export control strategy, since the latter is designed more to deny China an AI computing ecosystem rather than prevent the emergence of a single, high-performing Chinese model. 

Paul Triolo suggested in his AI Stack Decrypted Substack that the U.S. and China should increase collaboration on AI safety now that advanced AI technology is more easily available to malicious actors, and he challenged the common assumption that attaining nuanced U.S. export controls is even feasible, let alone cost-effective. 

Lizzi C. Lee argued at The Wire China that the current U.S. approach to securing leadership in AI by erecting barriers is fundamentally flawed.



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