AI has narrow path

"There are, at this moment, two big unknowns about artificial intelligence.

"First, we don’t know whether and how companies will succeed in getting value out of A.I.; they’re trying to figure that out, and they could get it wrong. Second, we don’t know how much smarter A.I. will become. 

"About the first unknown, though, we have some clues. We can say, from firsthand experience that having an A.I. available to you can be really useful:
  • That it can help you learn; 
  • That it can make you more capable; 
  • That it can assist you in better utilizing your human capital, and even in expanding it. 
"We can also say, with some confidence, that A.I. cannot do many of the important things people do —that, except in certain narrow circumstances, it is better at enabling human beings than at taking their place. 

"Meanwhile, about the second question —whether A.I. will get a lot smarter, so smart that it transforms the world —we know very little. We are waiting to find out, and even the experts can’t agree. Our challenge is to act on what we know, and not to let our guesses about the future overrule it."



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