Jaggedness

"The frontier is very jagged indeed, and it might be that, because of this jaggedness, we get supersmart AIs which never quite fully overlap with human tasks.

"For example, a major source of jaggedness is that LLMs do not remember new tasks and learn from them in a permanent way. 

"A lot of AI companies are pursuing solutions to this issue, but it may be that this problem is harder to solve than researchers expect. 

"Without memory, AIs will struggle to do many tasks humans can do, even while being superhuman in other areas. 

"Colin Fraser drew two examples of what this sort of AI-human overlap might look like. You can see how AI is indeed superhuman in some areas, but in others it is either far below human level or not overlapping at all. 

"If this is true, then AI will create new opportunities working in complement with human beings, since we both bring different abilities to the table."


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